Category: Forecasts
-
2025 Investment Forecasts
When it comes to annual forecasts, analysts have made a complete U-turn from their predictions a year ago. Last year the median estimate for S&P 500 returns was 4.6% with a 45% chance of recession, and now it is 11.6% for the S&P 500 and an 18% chance of recession.1 2024Prediction Actual 2025Prediction Actual S&P… Read more
-
Next Decade Forecasts: 2024 Edition
Single year predictions can help make sense of why the market is behaving a certain way in real time, but long-term predictions provide a much better signal for portfolio allocation decisions. At the beginning of every year, investment research groups publish reports on market conditions for a variety of forward-looking time frames. Two of my… Read more
-
2024 Analyst Forecasts
Since the start of the year, the S&P 500 is up over 8%, multi-strategy continues its triumph in the hedge fund world, and Bitcoin has returned to its all-time highs. What do you need to know in this environment to make smart investing decisions? The good news is probably nothing. Default investments like target date… Read more